| Overall | 5W 14L 1T |
| District | 2W 4L 0T |
| Expected | 15: 1+ 4- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
47 12 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
904 176 Strength Momentum |
1022 42.8(50) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/24/15 | at Capital ?? | 0.000 | 961 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-6) | 585 | 37% |  |
| 08/26/15 | Santa Fe !! | 0.000 | 1050 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 1017 | 29% | |
| 08/31/15 | Taos | 0.000 | 1104 | L 1- 9 | Expected (-6) | 584 | 22% | |
| 09/02/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.001 | 1300 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+1) | 961 | 6% | |
| 09/09/15 | St. Pius | 0.001 | 1071 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-6) | 621 | 26% | |
| 09/11/15 | Belen | 0.005 | 593 | W 4- 1 | Expected (0) | 889 | 90% | |
| 09/14/15 | at Robertson | 0.010 | 872 | T 2- 2 | Worse (0) | 898 | 52% | |
| 09/16/15 | Desert Academy | 0.013 | 654 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-1) | 869 | 86% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Monte del Sol | 0.023 | 844 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-1) | 834 | 57% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Bosque | 0.008 | 1309 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-4) | 706 | 5% | |
| 09/24/15 | at Rehoboth Christian ? | 0.027 | 1003 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-4) | 711 | 30% | |
| 09/25/15 | at Hobbs | 0.038 | 1286 | L 1- 5 | Expected (0) | 903 | 6% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Artesia ! | 0.029 | 779 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1103 | 67% | |
| 09/29/15 | Hope Christian | 0.043 | 1088 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-3) | 734 | 24% | |
| 10/01/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.100 | 1111 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 898 | 21% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Silver | 0.144 | 870 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 846 | 52% | |
| 10/09/15 | at Desert Academy | 0.198 | 654 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+1) | 939 | 83% | |
| 10/13/15 | at Santa Fe Prep | 0.370 | 1111 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 967 | 17% | |
| 10/15/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.415 | 844 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-2) | 814 | 63% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Socorro | 0.495 | 1040 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 932 | 25% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals St. Michael's actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1022, while
St. Michael's's "weighted playing strength" is 897
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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